the big one is coming...Iraq/Iran/North Korea are ready
Loved ones the reality is… there is 62% probability of a strong earthquake striking the greater San Francisco Bay Region..

Loved Ones…read the following and take time to give some thought how quickly your life can change….not to be the same again….ever in your life time…

Drawing on new data and new methodologies, the Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WG02) has concluded that there is a 0.62 probability (i.e., a 62% probability) of a strong earthquake striking the greater San Francisco Bay Region (SFBR) over the next 30 years (2003-2032).

Such an earthquake is most likely to occur on one of seven main fault systems identified in this study, but may also occur on faults that were not characterized as part of the study (i.e., in the "background")

The WG02 results come from a comprehensive analysis led by the USGS and involving input from a broad group of geologists, seismologists, and other earth scientists representing government, academia and the private sector.

The results of this study are appropriate for use in estimating seismic hazard in the SFBR, and estimating the intensity of ground shaking expected for specified "scenario" earthquakes.

In addition, they provide a basis for calculating earthquake insurance premiums, planning and prioritizing expenditures for seismic upgrades of structures, and developing building codes.

Loved Ones…this information is available to Iraq and Iran and North Korea….all 3 countries the United States of America presently under the “leadership” of Bush and Chaney are being raped of resources and the murdering of their innocent civilians….

Stop and think about it loved ones…what do you think the growing number of enemies the Bush gang is creating…what do you think they will do when the big one hits here at home?•

Because the ten most likely future earthquakes in the Bay area occur on faults throughout the region, the impact and potential losses reported here reveal significant risk for the entire ten county regions.

• The study found that all ten of the most likely forecast earthquakes would cause social and economic disruption equal to or greater than the 1989 magnitude 6.9 Loma Prieta earthquake when current building replacement/repair costs in the San Francisco Bay Area are utilized. The M6.9 Loma Prieta earthquake resulted in at least $6 billion in damage to buildings and infrastructure. This amount does not include the resulting economic losses related to this damage.

• Our loss estimates were determined using the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s nationally recognized and publicly available earthquake loss estimation model, HAZUS. We used ground-shaking inputs for the scenario events developed using the same methodology employed by the USGS in producing automated, near real-time, web-based ShakeMaps, that depict the degree and distribution of strong shaking following significant quakes in the San Francisco and Los Angeles region. In a post-earthquake setting, FEMA and CA OES will use ShakeMap input into HAZUS for rapid post-event loss estimation and to help guide emergency response. Ground motion inputs in a HAZUS-ready GIS format are available on the web for these ten most likely scenario earthquakes as well as for all potential Bay Area earthquakes characterized by the Working Group.

• A repeat of the 1906 magnitude 7.9 earthquake, the worst case scenario for the Bay Area, is estimated to result in about 5800 fatalities if it strikes during working hours. This estimate is comparable to the approximately 6000 deaths caused by the 1995 M6.9 Kobe earthquake that occurred in the afternoon directly beneath an urban area with a population of 1.52 million people. Most scenarios, however, have maximum projected fatalities on the order of several hundred, reflecting the success of earthquake-resistant design and construction practices in California, particularly in residences.

• The loss of life is predicted to be highest if an earthquake occurs in the early afternoon when people are working in commercial buildings with varying vulnerability to quakes These predicted mid-afternoon fatalities are generally about 5 times higher than values predicted at 2:00 AM when the population is assumed to be in wood frame residential units.

• Because all ten of the scenario earthquakes in the loss estimation study strike much closer to the urban core of the Bay Area than magnitude 6.9 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake, the projected number of uninhabitable residences for all ten scenarios will probably exceed the 16,000 made uninhabitable by the Loma Prieta quake. For example, the Association of Bay Area Governments has estimated that more than 150,000 uninhabitable residences will occur in a M7.9 repeat of the 1906 earthquake or a M6.9 rupture of the entire Hayward fault.

These loss estimates are believed to be minimum ones

•...in part because of a lack of detailed and representative building inventory in the Bay region, as well as the fact that damage to specific facilities or lifelines, such as the Hetch-Hetchy aqueduct system, Bay Area ports, and transportation systems, is not included.

For example, a recent Bay Area Economic Forum study on the seismic vulnerability of the Hetch-Hetchy system estimated potential for tens of billions of dollars of losses related to failure of that system alone in a major earthquake.•

The East Bay I-880 corridor along the Hayward fault would experience the most proportional property damage of the entire Bay area, a result of dense development directly along and next to the Hayward fault and the fact that earthquakes on this fault, while lower in magnitude than those on the San Andreas Fault, have higher odds of occurring.

• For all Hayward fault earthquake scenarios, severe shaking is predicted to extend westward across San Francisco Bay onto the soft soil sites on the San Francisco Peninsula and the made land/artificial fill in San Francisco. In fact, San Francisco’s financial district, which is largely built on pre-1906 bay fill, is approximately equidistant from the Hayward and the San Andreas faults, making it vulnerable to large earthquakes on both sides of the Bay.

Loved Ones…you can make excuses…you can deny the facts….you can bury your head in the sand…but…this is true…our planet is but a vechicle for our souls to learn our lessons…lessons about not judging…lessons about compassion…lessons about sharing…lessons about not doing to others what you would not want done to yourself…

Now is the time for American peoples to treat all peoples in a loving fashion….to treat the Hamas in a loving fashion…to treat the Iranians in a loving fashion…to treat the Iraqi peoples in a loving fashion…to treat Moslems and Jews and Catholics and Hindi and atheists and Gnostics all in a loving fashion…on this planet we are all brothers and sisters…we are all children of our Divine Parents….we are all sparks of Mother and Father God.

At this time I petition for the protection of all persons living within the earthquake zones on the West Coast of the beautiful country of America…I petition and ask that in the Name of Our Lord Jesus the Christ.
- posted by Samuel Bell @ 3:56 PM 0 comments